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Home » Predictions » Others » SD Logrones x Anguiano Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 16h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
SD Logrones SD Logrones
PREDICTION SD Logrones wins Probability 80% 1 X 2
Anguiano Anguiano
ODD: @1.48 Don't miss this prediction!

SD Logrones x Anguiano Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for SD Logrones x Anguiano, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
16:00
SD Logrones SD Logrones
1.48
X
3.75
Anguiano Anguiano
5.97

Our algorithm has selected this tip for SD Logrones x Anguiano:

🔮 SD Logrones wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on SD Logrones, you can win up to $740.00!

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Important information for your tip for SD Logrones x Anguiano:

👉 If you had bet $100 on SD Logrones in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-315.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Anguiano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $500.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Anguiano, SD Logrones scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 SD Logrones matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between SD Logrones x Anguiano, with SD Logrones as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Anguiano conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, SD Logrones conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Anguiano.
👉 SD Logrones has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Anguiano.

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Summary

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Analysis from SD Logrones x Anguiano for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 – 2 of February

🏟️ SD Logrones X Anguiano – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 16:00
🔵 SD Logrones – Winning probability: 80.64% | Fair line: 1.24
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.74% | Fair line: 6.79
🔴 Anguiano – Winning probability: 4.62% | Fair line: 21.65
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 SD Logrones
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SD Logrones x Anguiano right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for SD Logrones x Anguiano

Should you bet on SD Logrones?

🔵 SD Logrones: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 80.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 810 times – profiting $388.80;
  • And would lose other 190 times – losing -$190.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$198.80.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $412.50;
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$437.50.

Is betting on Anguiano worth it?

🔴 Anguiano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.97. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $248.50
  • And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$701.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SD Logrones x Anguiano

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 SD Logrones
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SD Logrones x Anguiano

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 SD Logrones, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 SD Logrones.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SD Logrones x Anguiano

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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