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Home » Predictions » Others » SD Portmany x Llosetense Betting tips for January 11 in Spain Tercera Group 11
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 16h00 Spain Tercera Group 11
SD Portmany SD Portmany
PREDICTION SD Portmany wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
Llosetense Llosetense
ODD: @1.84 Don't miss this prediction!

SD Portmany x Llosetense Betting tips for January 11 in Spain Tercera Group 11

Our betting tip for SD Portmany x Llosetense, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
16:00
SD Portmany SD Portmany
1.84
X
3.25
Llosetense Llosetense
3.85

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for SD Portmany x Llosetense:

🔮 SD Portmany wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on SD Portmany, you can win up to $920.00!

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Some important points for the tip for SD Portmany x Llosetense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Llosetense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, SD Portmany scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Llosetense conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from SD Portmany x Llosetense for the Spain Tercera Group 11 – 11 of January

🏟️ SD Portmany X Llosetense – Spain Tercera Group 11
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 16:00
🔵 SD Portmany – Winning probability: 60.54% | Fair line: 1.65
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.57% | Fair line: 4.24
🔴 Llosetense – Winning probability: 15.89% | Fair line: 6.29
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 SD Portmany
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SD Portmany x Llosetense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244516 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for SD Portmany x Llosetense

Should you bet on SD Portmany?

🔵 SD Portmany: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 60.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.84. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 610 times – this would give you a profit of $512.40
  • And would lose other 390 times – losing -$390.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$122.40.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $540.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$220.00.

Is betting on Llosetense worth it?

🔴 Llosetense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $456.00;
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$384.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SD Portmany x Llosetense

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 SD Portmany
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SD Portmany x Llosetense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 SD Portmany and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 SD Portmany.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SD Portmany x Llosetense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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