SD Portmany x PE Sant Jordi Betting tips for April 16 in Spain Tercera Group 11

Our betting tip for SD Portmany x PE Sant Jordi, Wednesday, 16/4/2025

📅 16/4/2025 17:00

SD Portmany 2.23

X 3.30

PE Sant Jordi 2.80

Our algorithm has selected this tip for SD Portmany x PE Sant Jordi:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for SD Portmany x PE Sant Jordi

Some important points for the tip for SD Portmany x PE Sant Jordi: 👉 If you had bet $100 on SD Portmany in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, PE Sant Jordi scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 SD Portmany matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 PE Sant Jordi matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, PE Sant Jordi conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 PE Sant Jordi is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Analysis from SD Portmany x PE Sant Jordi for the Spain Tercera Group 11 – 16 of April

When the best bet on SD Portmany x PE Sant Jordi is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1304980 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for SD Portmany x PE Sant Jordi

Should you bet on SD Portmany?

🔵 SD Portmany: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.23. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 460 times – profiting $565.80;
• And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$25.80, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $552.00
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$208.00.

Is it worth betting on PE Sant Jordi?

🔴 PE Sant Jordi: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match SD Portmany x PE Sant Jordi

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 SD Portmany
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SD Portmany x PE Sant Jordi

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 SD Portmany, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 SD Portmany.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 PE Sant Jordi.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SD Portmany x PE Sant Jordi

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.