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Home » Predictions » Others » SD Torina x CD Guarnizo Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 3
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 15h30 Spain Tercera Group 3
SD Torina SD Torina
PREDICTION No tip
CD Guarnizo CD Guarnizo
Don't miss this prediction!

SD Torina x CD Guarnizo Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 3

Our betting tip for SD Torina x CD Guarnizo, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
15:30
SD Torina SD Torina
1.65
X
3.50
CD Guarnizo CD Guarnizo
4.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for SD Torina x CD Guarnizo:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for SD Torina x CD Guarnizo

Important information for your tip for SD Torina x CD Guarnizo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Guarnizo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-5.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, SD Torina scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 road matches, CD Guarnizo has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from SD Torina x CD Guarnizo for the Spain Tercera Group 3 – 1 of December

🏟️ SD Torina X CD Guarnizo – Spain Tercera Group 3
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 15:30
🔵 SD Torina – Winning probability: 60.93% | Fair line: 1.64
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.85% | Fair line: 4.02
🔴 CD Guarnizo – Winning probability: 14.22% | Fair line: 7.03
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 SD Torina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on SD Torina x CD Guarnizo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for SD Torina x CD Guarnizo

Is it worth betting on SD Torina?

🔵 SD Torina: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 60.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 610 times – profiting $396.50;
  • And would lose other 390 times – having a loss of -$390.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$6.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $625.00
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$125.00.

Should you bet on CD Guarnizo?

🔴 CD Guarnizo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $490.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$370.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SD Torina x CD Guarnizo

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 SD Torina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SD Torina x CD Guarnizo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 SD Torina, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 SD Torina.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 SD Torina.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SD Torina x CD Guarnizo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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