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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Semen Padang x Persis Solo Betting tips for September 29 in Indonesia Liga 1
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 05h30 Indonesia Liga 1
Semen Padang Semen Padang
PREDICTION No tip
Persis Solo Persis Solo
Don't miss this prediction!

Semen Padang x Persis Solo Betting tips for September 29 in Indonesia Liga 1

Our betting tip for Semen Padang x Persis Solo, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
05:30
Semen Padang Semen Padang
2.75
X
3.20
Persis Solo Persis Solo
2.28

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Semen Padang x Persis Solo:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Semen Padang x Persis Solo

Some important points for the tip for Semen Padang x Persis Solo:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Semen Padang in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $125.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Persis Solo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $340.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Semen Padang scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Persis Solo matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Persis Solo conceded at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Persis Solo as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Semen Padang x Persis Solo for the Indonesia Liga 1 – 29 of September

🏟️ Semen Padang X Persis Solo – Indonesia Liga 1
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 05:30
πŸ”΅ Semen Padang – Winning probability: 24.96% | Fair line: 4.01
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.33% | Fair line: 3.19
πŸ”΄ Persis Solo – Winning probability: 43.71% | Fair line: 2.29
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Semen Padang
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Semen Padang and Persis Solo.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Semen Padang x Persis Solo

Should you bet on Semen Padang?

πŸ”΅ Semen Padang: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $437.50
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$312.50.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $682.00
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$8.00.

Should you bet on Persis Solo?

πŸ”΄ Persis Solo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $563.20;
  • And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$3.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Semen Padang x Persis Solo

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Semen Padang
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Semen Padang x Persis Solo

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Semen Padang, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Semen Padang. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Semen Padang x Persis Solo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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