Sepahan x FK Istiqlol Dushanbe Betting tips for October 1 in AFC Champions League Two
| 📅 1/10/2024 13:00 |
 Sepahan1.26 |
X 4.80 |
FK Istiqlol Dushanbe  10.02 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sepahan x FK Istiqlol Dushanbe:
🔮 Sepahan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sepahan, you can win up to $630.00!
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The main points for the tip for Sepahan x FK Istiqlol Dushanbe: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sepahan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-54.0. |
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Analysis from Sepahan x FK Istiqlol Dushanbe for the AFC Champions League Two – 1 of October
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🏟️ Sepahan X FK Istiqlol Dushanbe – AFC Champions League Two |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sepahan x FK Istiqlol Dushanbe right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192611 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Sepahan x FK Istiqlol Dushanbe
Should you bet on Sepahan?
🔵 Sepahan: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 97.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.26. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 970 times – profiting $252.20;
- And would lose other 30 times – having a loss of -$30.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$222.20.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $76.00
- And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$904.00.
Is it worth betting on FK Istiqlol Dushanbe?
🔴 FK Istiqlol Dushanbe: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 10.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
- And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sepahan x FK Istiqlol Dushanbe
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Sepahan
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sepahan x FK Istiqlol Dushanbe
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Sepahan and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Sepahan.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 FK Istiqlol Dushanbe.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sepahan x FK Istiqlol Dushanbe
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
