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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Serik Belediyespor x Bucaspor Betting tips for September 29 in Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 09h30 Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi
Serik Belediyespor Serik Belediyespor
PREDICTION Bucaspor Wins Probability 27% 1 X 2
Bucaspor Bucaspor
ODD: @2.68 Don't miss this prediction!

Serik Belediyespor x Bucaspor Betting tips for September 29 in Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi

Our betting tip for Serik Belediyespor x Bucaspor, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
09:30
Serik Belediyespor Serik Belediyespor
2.40
X
3.02
Bucaspor Bucaspor
2.68

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Serik Belediyespor x Bucaspor:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Bucaspor wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bucaspor, you can win up to $1340.00!

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The main points for the tip for Serik Belediyespor x Bucaspor:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Serik Belediyespor in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-7.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bucaspor in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $75.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Bucaspor, Serik Belediyespor scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Serik Belediyespor x Bucaspor, with Serik Belediyespor as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Serik Belediyespor conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Bucaspor.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Bucaspor has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Serik Belediyespor x Bucaspor for the Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Serik Belediyespor X Bucaspor – Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 09:30
๐Ÿ”ต Serik Belediyespor – Winning probability: 45.37% | Fair line: 2.2
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.86% | Fair line: 3.72
๐Ÿ”ด Bucaspor – Winning probability: 27.78% | Fair line: 3.6
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Serik Belediyespor
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Serik Belediyespor x Bucaspor right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Serik Belediyespor x Bucaspor

Is it worth betting on Serik Belediyespor?

๐Ÿ”ต Serik Belediyespor: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.37%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – profiting $630.00;
  • And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$80.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $545.40;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$184.60.

Is betting on Bucaspor worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Bucaspor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $470.40;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$249.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Serik Belediyespor x Bucaspor

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Serik Belediyespor
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Serik Belediyespor x Bucaspor

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Serik Belediyespor, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Serik Belediyespor.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Serik Belediyespor.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Serik Belediyespor x Bucaspor

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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