Serpa x GD Lagoa Betting tips for April 13 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Serpa x GD Lagoa, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 15:00

Serpa 1.50

X 3.84

GD Lagoa 5.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Serpa x GD Lagoa:

🔮 Serpa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Serpa, you can win up to $750.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Serpa x GD Lagoa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Serpa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-91.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on GD Lagoa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-250.0. 👉 In the last 3 GD Lagoa matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Serpa conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, GD Lagoa conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for another bookie to bet on Serpa x GD Lagoa?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Serpa x GD Lagoa:

Analysis from Serpa x GD Lagoa for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 13 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Serpa x GD Lagoa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302187 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Serpa x GD Lagoa

Is betting on Serpa worth it?

🔵 Serpa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 77.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 770 times – profiting $385.00;
• And would lose other 230 times – losing -$230.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$155.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.84. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $426.00
• And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$424.00.

Should you bet on GD Lagoa?

🔴 GD Lagoa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $360.00
• And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$560.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Serpa x GD Lagoa

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Serpa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Serpa x GD Lagoa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Serpa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Serpa.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Serpa x GD Lagoa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.