Serpa x Louletano DC Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Serpa x Louletano DC, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:00

Serpa 1.82

X 3.24

Louletano DC 4.06

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Serpa x Louletano DC:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Serpa x Louletano DC

Important information for your tip for Serpa x Louletano DC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Serpa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-87.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Louletano DC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $60.0. 👉 Serpa did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Louletano DC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Serpa matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from Serpa x Louletano DC for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 30 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Serpa x Louletano DC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Serpa x Louletano DC

Is betting on Serpa worth it?

🔵 Serpa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 570 times – having a profit of $467.40;
• And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$37.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.24. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $604.80;
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$125.20.

Is it worth betting on Louletano DC?

🔴 Louletano DC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.06. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $489.60;
• And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$350.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Serpa x Louletano DC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Serpa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Serpa x Louletano DC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Serpa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Serpa.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Serpa x Louletano DC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.