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Home Β» Predictions Β» Serra Branca EC x Sousa EC Betting tips for March 9 in Brazil Campeonato Paraibano
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 19h00 Brazil Campeonato Paraibano
Serra Branca EC Serra Branca EC
PREDICTION No tip
Sousa EC Sousa EC
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Serra Branca EC x Sousa EC Betting tips for March 9 in Brazil Campeonato Paraibano

Our betting tip for Serra Branca EC x Sousa EC, Sunday, 9/3/2025
πŸ“… 9/3/2025
19:00
Serra Branca EC Serra Branca EC
2.30
X
3.17
Sousa EC Sousa EC
2.75

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Serra Branca EC x Sousa EC:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Serra Branca EC x Sousa EC

Some important points for the tip for Serra Branca EC x Sousa EC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Serra Branca EC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $84.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sousa EC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Serra Branca EC scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Serra Branca EC matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Serra Branca EC x Sousa EC?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Serra Branca EC x Sousa EC:

Analysis from Serra Branca EC x Sousa EC for the Brazil Campeonato Paraibano – 9 of March

🏟️ Serra Branca EC X Sousa EC – Brazil Campeonato Paraibano
πŸ“… 9 of March, 2025 – 19:00
πŸ”΅ Serra Branca EC – Winning probability: 41.40% | Fair line: 2.42
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.59% | Fair line: 3.5
πŸ”΄ Sousa EC – Winning probability: 30.01% | Fair line: 3.33
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Serra Branca EC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Serra Branca EC x Sousa EC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1277138 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Serra Branca EC x Sousa EC

Is it a good idea to bet on Serra Branca EC?

πŸ”΅ Serra Branca EC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $533.00;
  • And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$57.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.17. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $629.30
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$80.70.

Is it worth betting on Sousa EC?

πŸ”΄ Sousa EC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $525.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$175.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Serra Branca EC x Sousa EC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Serra Branca EC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Serra Branca EC x Sousa EC

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Serra Branca EC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Serra Branca EC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Serra Branca EC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Serra Branca EC x Sousa EC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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