Sertanense x Alverca B Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
| 📅 29/9/2024 11:00 |
 Sertanense2.25 |
X 3.12 |
Alverca B  2.84 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sertanense x Alverca B:
👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Sertanense x Alverca B
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Some important points for the tip for Sertanense x Alverca B: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sertanense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-150.0. |
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Analysis from Sertanense x Alverca B for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 29 of September
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🏟️ Sertanense X Alverca B – Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sertanense and Alverca B.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Sertanense x Alverca B
Is it a good idea to bet on Sertanense?
🔵 Sertanense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 380 times – profiting $475.00;
- And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$145.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $657.20;
- And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$32.80.
Is it worth betting on Alverca B?
🔴 Alverca B: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.84. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $570.40;
- And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$119.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sertanense x Alverca B
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sertanense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sertanense x Alverca B
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Sertanense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Sertanense.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Alverca B.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sertanense x Alverca B
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
