Sertanense x GD Peniche Betting tips for January 12 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
| 📅 12/1/2025 15:00 |
 Sertanense4.80 |
X 3.40 |
GD Peniche  1.65 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sertanense x GD Peniche:
🔮 GD Peniche wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on GD Peniche, you can win up to $825.00!
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The main points for the tip for Sertanense x GD Peniche: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sertanense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Sertanense x GD Peniche for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 12 of January
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🏟️ Sertanense X GD Peniche – Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
When the best bet on Sertanense x GD Peniche is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244844 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Sertanense x GD Peniche
Is it a good idea to bet on Sertanense?
🔵 Sertanense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $304.00
- And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$616.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$252.00.
Is betting on GD Peniche worth it?
🔴 GD Peniche: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 70.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 700 times – this would give you a profit of $455.00
- And would have lost other 300 times – with a loss of -$300.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$155.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sertanense x GD Peniche
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Sertanense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sertanense x GD Peniche
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Sertanense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Sertanense.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Sertanense.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sertanense x GD Peniche
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
