Sestri Levante x Lucchese Betting tips for May 10 in Italy Serie C Play-Offs
| 📅 10/5/2025 18:00 |
 Sestri Levante3.18 |
X 3.10 |
Lucchese  2.17 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sestri Levante x Lucchese:
🔮 Lucchese wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lucchese, you can win up to $1085.00!
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Important information for your tip for Sestri Levante x Lucchese: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sestri Levante in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $290.0. |
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Analysis from Sestri Levante x Lucchese for the Italy Serie C Play-Offs – 10 of May
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🏟️ Sestri Levante X Lucchese – Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sestri Levante x Lucchese right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1322135 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Sestri Levante x Lucchese
Is it a good idea to bet on Sestri Levante?
🔵 Sestri Levante: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $457.80
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$332.20.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $315.00
- And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$535.00.
Should you bet on Lucchese?
🔴 Lucchese: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.17. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 630 times – having a profit of $737.10;
- And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$367.10.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sestri Levante x Lucchese
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sestri Levante
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sestri Levante x Lucchese
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Sestri Levante, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Sestri Levante.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Sestri Levante.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sestri Levante x Lucchese
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
