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Home » Predictions » Others » Sevilla Atletico x Atletico Madrid B Betting tips for May 11 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
Sunday, 11 May 2025, 10h00 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
Sevilla Atletico Sevilla Atletico
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 36% 1 X 2
Atletico Madrid B Atletico Madrid B
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

Sevilla Atletico x Atletico Madrid B Betting tips for May 11 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Sevilla Atletico x Atletico Madrid B, Sunday, 11/5/2025
📅 11/5/2025
10:00
Sevilla Atletico Sevilla Atletico
2.75
X
3.00
Atletico Madrid B Atletico Madrid B
2.40

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sevilla Atletico x Atletico Madrid B:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Sevilla Atletico x Atletico Madrid B:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sevilla Atletico in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $160.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid B in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 Sevilla Atletico matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Atletico Madrid B matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Atletico Madrid B conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Sevilla Atletico x Atletico Madrid B for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 – 11 of May

🏟️ Sevilla Atletico X Atletico Madrid B – Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
📅 11 of May, 2025 – 10:00
🔵 Sevilla Atletico – Winning probability: 24.25% | Fair line: 4.12
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.63% | Fair line: 2.73
🔴 Atletico Madrid B – Winning probability: 39.12% | Fair line: 2.56
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Sevilla Atletico
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Sevilla Atletico x Atletico Madrid B is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1322631 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sevilla Atletico x Atletico Madrid B

Is it a good idea to bet on Sevilla Atletico?

🔵 Sevilla Atletico: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $420.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$340.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – profiting $740.00;
  • And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$110.00.

Is it worth betting on Atletico Madrid B?

🔴 Atletico Madrid B: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $546.00;
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$64.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sevilla Atletico x Atletico Madrid B

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Sevilla Atletico
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sevilla Atletico x Atletico Madrid B

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Sevilla Atletico, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Sevilla Atletico.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Atletico Madrid B.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sevilla Atletico x Atletico Madrid B

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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