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Home » Predictions » Others » Sevilla x Osasuna Betting tips for December 2 in Spain La Liga
Monday, 02 December 2024, 20h00 Spain La Liga
Sevilla Sevilla
PREDICTION Sevilla wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
Osasuna Osasuna
ODD: @2.13 Don't miss this prediction!

Sevilla x Osasuna Betting tips for December 2 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Sevilla x Osasuna, Monday, 2/12/2024
📅 2/12/2024
20:00
Sevilla Sevilla
2.13
X
3.38
Osasuna Osasuna
3.49

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sevilla x Osasuna:

🔮 Sevilla wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sevilla, you can win up to $1065.00!

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Important information for your tip for Sevilla x Osasuna:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sevilla in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $352.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Osasuna in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $154.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Osasuna, Sevilla scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Sevilla matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Sevilla x Osasuna for the Spain La Liga – 2 of December

🏟️ Sevilla X Osasuna – Spain La Liga
📅 2 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Sevilla – Winning probability: 59.56% | Fair line: 1.68
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.25% | Fair line: 4.3
🔴 Osasuna – Winning probability: 17.18% | Fair line: 5.82
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Sevilla
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sevilla and Osasuna.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230608 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sevilla x Osasuna

Should you bet on Sevilla?

🔵 Sevilla: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 59.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.13. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $678.00;
  • And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$278.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $547.40;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$222.60.

Should you bet on Osasuna?

🔴 Osasuna: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.49. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $423.30
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$406.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sevilla x Osasuna

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Sevilla
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sevilla x Osasuna

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Sevilla, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Sevilla.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Sevilla.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sevilla x Osasuna

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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