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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Sevilla x Valencia Betting tips for January 11 in Spain La Liga
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 20h00 Spain La Liga
Sevilla Sevilla
PREDICTION No tip
Valencia Valencia
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Sevilla x Valencia Betting tips for January 11 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Sevilla x Valencia, Saturday, 11/1/2025
πŸ“… 11/1/2025
20:00
Sevilla Sevilla
2.00
X
3.22
Valencia Valencia
4.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sevilla x Valencia:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Sevilla x Valencia

Important information for your tip for Sevilla x Valencia:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sevilla in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $242.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Valencia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-173.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sevilla scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Valencia, Sevilla scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 Sevilla matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Valencia matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Sevilla conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Valencia.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Sevilla x Valencia?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sevilla x Valencia, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Sevilla x Valencia for the Spain La Liga – 11 of January

🏟️ Sevilla X Valencia – Spain La Liga
πŸ“… 11 of January, 2025 – 20:00
πŸ”΅ Sevilla – Winning probability: 47.30% | Fair line: 2.11
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.48% | Fair line: 3.18
πŸ”΄ Valencia – Winning probability: 21.22% | Fair line: 4.71
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sevilla
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sevilla x Valencia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sevilla x Valencia

Is it a good idea to bet on Sevilla?

πŸ”΅ Sevilla: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $470.00;
  • And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$60.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $688.20
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$1.80 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on Valencia worth it?

πŸ”΄ Valencia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $630.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$160.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sevilla x Valencia

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sevilla
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sevilla x Valencia

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Sevilla and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Sevilla.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Valencia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sevilla x Valencia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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