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Home » Predictions » Others » Shamakhi FK x Sabah Betting tips for March 9 in Azerbaijan Premier League
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 11h00 Azerbaijan Premier League
Shamakhi FK Shamakhi FK
PREDICTION Sabah Wins Probability 61% 1 X 2
Sabah Sabah
ODD: @2 Don't miss this prediction!

Shamakhi FK x Sabah Betting tips for March 9 in Azerbaijan Premier League

Our betting tip for Shamakhi FK x Sabah, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
11:00
Shamakhi FK Shamakhi FK
3.70
X
3.05
Sabah Sabah
2.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Shamakhi FK x Sabah:

🔮 Sabah wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sabah, you can win up to $1000.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Shamakhi FK x Sabah:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Shamakhi FK in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $160.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sabah in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 Playing as the home team, Shamakhi FK conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Sabah.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Sabah has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Shamakhi FK x Sabah for the Azerbaijan Premier League – 9 of March

🏟️ Shamakhi FK X Sabah – Azerbaijan Premier League
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 Shamakhi FK – Winning probability: 14.24% | Fair line: 7.02
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.21% | Fair line: 4.13
🔴 Sabah – Winning probability: 61.55% | Fair line: 1.62
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Shamakhi FK
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Shamakhi FK and Sabah.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1277138 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Shamakhi FK x Sabah

Is it a good idea to bet on Shamakhi FK?

🔵 Shamakhi FK: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $378.00;
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$482.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $492.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$268.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sabah?

🔴 Sabah: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 61.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 620 times – this would give you a profit of $620.00
  • And would lose other 380 times – having a loss of -$380.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$240.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Shamakhi FK x Sabah

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Shamakhi FK
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Shamakhi FK x Sabah

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Shamakhi FK, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Shamakhi FK.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Sabah.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Shamakhi FK x Sabah

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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