Shamrock Rovers x Derry City Betting tips for March 6 in Republic of Ireland Premier Division

Our betting tip for Shamrock Rovers x Derry City, Friday, 6/3/2026

📅 6/3/2026 20:00

Shamrock Rovers 2.16

X 3.20

Derry City 3.32

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Shamrock Rovers x Derry City:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Shamrock Rovers x Derry City

Important information for your tip for Shamrock Rovers x Derry City:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Shamrock Rovers in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $26.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Derry City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $654.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Derry City scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Shamrock Rovers matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Shamrock Rovers x Derry City, with Shamrock Rovers as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Derry City has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Shamrock Rovers x Derry City for the Republic of Ireland Premier Division – 6 of March

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Shamrock Rovers x Derry City

It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between Shamrock Rovers x Derry City.

Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Shamrock Rovers x Derry City

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Shamrock Rovers x Derry City right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1492993 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Is it worth betting on Shamrock Rovers?

🔵 Shamrock Rovers: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.16. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $522.00
• And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$28.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $682.00;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$8.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on Derry City?

🔴 Derry City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $580.00
• And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$170.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Shamrock Rovers x Derry City

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Shamrock Rovers
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Shamrock Rovers x Derry City

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Shamrock Rovers and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Shamrock Rovers.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Shamrock Rovers x Derry City

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Shamrock Rovers x Derry City