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22/1/2022 15:00 |
 Sheff Utd1.85 |
X 3.46 |
Luton  4.09 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sheff Utd x Luton:
๐ฎ Sheff Utd wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sheff Utd, you can win up to $927.50!
๐ Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Sheff Utd x Luton
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Analysis from Sheff Utd x Luton for the England Championship – 22 of January
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๐๏ธ Sheff Utd X Luton – England Championship |
When the best bet on Sheff Utd x Luton is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290605 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Sheff Utd x Luton
Is it worth betting on Sheff Utd?
๐ต Sheff Utd: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 660 times – profiting $564.30;
- And would lose other 340 times – having a loss of -$340.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$224.30.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.46. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $541.20
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$238.80.
Is it worth betting on Luton?
๐ด Luton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.09. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $370.80
- And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$509.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sheff Utd x Luton
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Sheff Utd
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sheff Utd x Luton
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Sheff Utd, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Sheff Utd.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sheff Utd x Luton
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
