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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Shire Endaselassie FC x Mekelakeya Betting tips for January 10 in Ethiopia Premier League
Friday, 10 January 2025, 12h00 Ethiopia Premier League
Shire Endaselassie FC Shire Endaselassie FC
PREDICTION No tip
Mekelakeya Mekelakeya
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Shire Endaselassie FC x Mekelakeya Betting tips for January 10 in Ethiopia Premier League

Our betting tip for Shire Endaselassie FC x Mekelakeya, Friday, 10/1/2025
πŸ“… 10/1/2025
12:00
Shire Endaselassie FC Shire Endaselassie FC
3.48
X
3.18
Mekelakeya Mekelakeya
1.99

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Shire Endaselassie FC x Mekelakeya:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Shire Endaselassie FC x Mekelakeya

Important information for your tip for Shire Endaselassie FC x Mekelakeya:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Shire Endaselassie FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-250.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Mekelakeya in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $47.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Mekelakeya scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 Shire Endaselassie FC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 road matches, Mekelakeya has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Shire Endaselassie FC x Mekelakeya for the Ethiopia Premier League – 10 of January

🏟️ Shire Endaselassie FC X Mekelakeya – Ethiopia Premier League
πŸ“… 10 of January, 2025 – 12:00
πŸ”΅ Shire Endaselassie FC – Winning probability: 14.39% | Fair line: 6.95
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.38% | Fair line: 4.1
πŸ”΄ Mekelakeya – Winning probability: 61.23% | Fair line: 1.63
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Shire Endaselassie FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Shire Endaselassie FC x Mekelakeya is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244129 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Shire Endaselassie FC x Mekelakeya

Should you bet on Shire Endaselassie FC?

πŸ”΅ Shire Endaselassie FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $347.20
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$512.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $523.20;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$236.80.

Is betting on Mekelakeya worth it?

πŸ”΄ Mekelakeya: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 61.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.99. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 610 times – having a profit of $603.90;
  • And would lose other 390 times – losing -$390.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$213.90. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Shire Endaselassie FC x Mekelakeya

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Shire Endaselassie FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Shire Endaselassie FC x Mekelakeya

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Shire Endaselassie FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Shire Endaselassie FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Shire Endaselassie FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Shire Endaselassie FC x Mekelakeya

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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