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Home » Predictions » Others » Shrewsbury x Burton Albion Betting tips for March 15 in England League 1
Saturday, 15 March 2025, 15h00 England League 1
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 34% 1 X 2
Burton Albion Burton Albion
ODD: @3.25 Don't miss this prediction!

Shrewsbury x Burton Albion Betting tips for March 15 in England League 1

Our betting tip for Shrewsbury x Burton Albion, Saturday, 15/3/2025
📅 15/3/2025
15:00
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury
2.25
X
3.25
Burton Albion Burton Albion
3.08

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Shrewsbury x Burton Albion:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1625.00!

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Important information for your tip for Shrewsbury x Burton Albion:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Shrewsbury in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Burton Albion in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $370.0.
👉 Shrewsbury did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 Shrewsbury matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Burton Albion matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Shrewsbury conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Burton Albion.

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Summary

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Analysis from Shrewsbury x Burton Albion for the England League 1 – 15 of March

🏟️ Shrewsbury X Burton Albion – England League 1
📅 15 of March, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 Shrewsbury – Winning probability: 37.10% | Fair line: 2.7
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.42% | Fair line: 2.91
🔴 Burton Albion – Winning probability: 28.48% | Fair line: 3.51
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Shrewsbury
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Shrewsbury and Burton Albion.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1281364 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Shrewsbury x Burton Albion

Is betting on Shrewsbury worth it?

🔵 Shrewsbury: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $462.50;
  • And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$167.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $765.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$105.00.

Should you bet on Burton Albion?

🔴 Burton Albion: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $582.40
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$137.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Shrewsbury x Burton Albion

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Shrewsbury
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Shrewsbury x Burton Albion

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Shrewsbury, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Shrewsbury.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Shrewsbury x Burton Albion

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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