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Home » Predictions » Others » Siroki Brijeg x FK Sarajevo Betting tips for September 30 in Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
Monday, 30 September 2024, 13h00 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg
PREDICTION FK Sarajevo Wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo
ODD: @1.9 Don't miss this prediction!

Siroki Brijeg x FK Sarajevo Betting tips for September 30 in Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga

Our betting tip for Siroki Brijeg x FK Sarajevo, Monday, 30/9/2024
📅 30/9/2024
13:00
Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg
3.60
X
3.20
FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo
1.90

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Siroki Brijeg x FK Sarajevo:

🔮 FK Sarajevo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FK Sarajevo, you can win up to $950.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Siroki Brijeg x FK Sarajevo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Siroki Brijeg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Sarajevo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $473.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against FK Sarajevo, Siroki Brijeg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Siroki Brijeg conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Siroki Brijeg x FK Sarajevo for the Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga – 30 of September

🏟️ Siroki Brijeg X FK Sarajevo – Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
📅 30 of September, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Siroki Brijeg – Winning probability: 15.34% | Fair line: 6.52
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.74% | Fair line: 4.82
🔴 FK Sarajevo – Winning probability: 63.92% | Fair line: 1.56
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Siroki Brijeg
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Siroki Brijeg x FK Sarajevo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1191189 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Siroki Brijeg x FK Sarajevo

Is betting on Siroki Brijeg worth it?

🔵 Siroki Brijeg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $390.00;
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$460.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $462.00
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$328.00.

Is betting on FK Sarajevo worth it?

🔴 FK Sarajevo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 63.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 640 times – profiting $576.00;
  • And would lose other 360 times – losing -$360.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$216.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Siroki Brijeg x FK Sarajevo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Siroki Brijeg
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Siroki Brijeg x FK Sarajevo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Siroki Brijeg, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Siroki Brijeg.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Siroki Brijeg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Siroki Brijeg x FK Sarajevo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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