📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Skenderbeu x Laci
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Analysis from Skenderbeu x Laci for the Albania Championship – 15 of January
🏟️ Skenderbeu X Laci – Albania Championship
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Skenderbeu x Laci right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 287992 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Skenderbeu x Laci
Is it worth betting on Skenderbeu?
🔵 Skenderbeu: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.73. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $517.75
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$292.25.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 350 times – profiting $694.75;
- And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$44.75.
Is it worth betting on Laci?
🔴 Laci: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $462.30;
- And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$77.70.
Handicaps analysis for the match Skenderbeu x Laci
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Skenderbeu
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Skenderbeu x Laci
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Skenderbeu and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Skenderbeu.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Laci.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Skenderbeu x Laci
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves