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Slough x Havant and W Betting tips for November 21 in England National League South

Our betting tip for Slough x Havant and W, Tuesday, 21/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 21/11/2023
19:45
Slough Slough
1.79
X
3.55
Havant and W Havant and W
3.63

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Slough x Havant and W:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Slough wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Slough, you can win up to $895.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Slough x Havant and W:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Slough in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $375.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Havant and W in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Slough scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Havant and W, Slough scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Havant and W matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Havant and W conceded at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Havant and W as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Slough x Havant and W

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Summary

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Analysis from Slough x Havant and W for the England National League South – 21 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Slough X Havant and W – England National League South
๐Ÿ“… 21 of November, 2023 – 19:45
๐Ÿ”ต Slough – Winning probability: 66.74% | Fair line: 1.5
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.67% | Fair line: 5.66
๐Ÿ”ด Havant and W – Winning probability: 15.59% | Fair line: 6.42
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Slough
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Slough x Havant and W is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024310 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Slough x Havant and W

Is betting on Slough worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Slough: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.79. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 670 times – profiting $529.30;
  • And would lose other 330 times – losing -$330.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$199.30.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $459.00
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$361.00.

Should you bet on Havant and W?

๐Ÿ”ด Havant and W: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.63. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $420.80
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$419.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Slough x Havant and W

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Slough
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Slough x Havant and W

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Slough, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Slough.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Slough x Havant and W

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves