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Home » Predictions » Others » Smouha x Modern Sport FC Betting tips for January 12 in Egypt Division 1
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 17h00 Egypt Division 1
Smouha Smouha
PREDICTION Smouha wins Probability 50% 1 X 2
Modern Sport FC Modern Sport FC
ODD: @2.12 Don't miss this prediction!

Smouha x Modern Sport FC Betting tips for January 12 in Egypt Division 1

Our betting tip for Smouha x Modern Sport FC, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
17:00
Smouha Smouha
2.12
X
2.75
Modern Sport FC Modern Sport FC
3.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Smouha x Modern Sport FC:

🔮 Smouha wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Smouha, you can win up to $1060.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Smouha x Modern Sport FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Smouha in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Modern Sport FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-110.0.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Smouha x Modern Sport FC, with Smouha as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Smouha is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 61.00% of possession.
👉 Smouha has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Modern Sport FC playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Smouha x Modern Sport FC?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Smouha x Modern Sport FC:

Analysis from Smouha x Modern Sport FC for the Egypt Division 1 – 12 of January

🏟️ Smouha X Modern Sport FC – Egypt Division 1
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 17:00
🔵 Smouha – Winning probability: 50.54% | Fair line: 1.98
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.97% | Fair line: 3.23
🔴 Modern Sport FC – Winning probability: 18.50% | Fair line: 5.41
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Smouha
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Smouha x Modern Sport FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Smouha x Modern Sport FC

Is betting on Smouha worth it?

🔵 Smouha: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 510 times – having a profit of $571.20;
  • And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$81.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $542.50
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$147.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Modern Sport FC?

🔴 Modern Sport FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $504.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$316.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Smouha x Modern Sport FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Smouha
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Smouha x Modern Sport FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Smouha and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Smouha.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Smouha.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Smouha x Modern Sport FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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