📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Sochaux x Caen
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Analysis from Sochaux x Caen for the France Ligue 2 – 15 of January
🏟️ Sochaux X Caen – France Ligue 2
When the best bet on Sochaux x Caen is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 287992 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Sochaux x Caen
Is betting on Sochaux worth it?
🔵 Sochaux: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $405.60;
- And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$74.40.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – profiting $667.00;
- And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$43.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Caen?
🔴 Caen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $700.00;
- And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$100.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sochaux x Caen
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sochaux
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sochaux x Caen
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Sochaux and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Sochaux.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Caen.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sochaux x Caen
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves