Somozas x Arosa Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 1

Our betting tip for Somozas x Arosa, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 11:00

Somozas 2.75

X 3.11

Arosa 2.30

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Somozas x Arosa:

🔮 Arosa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arosa, you can win up to $1150.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Somozas x Arosa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Somozas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Arosa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $625.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Arosa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Somozas conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Arosa. 👉 Arosa is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 5 wins in a row in its last road matches. 👉 Even as a visitor, Arosa won the last 3 head-to-head matches Somozas´s territory

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Somozas x Arosa?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Somozas x Arosa, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Somozas x Arosa for the Spain Tercera Group 1 – 1 of December

When the best bet on Somozas x Arosa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Somozas x Arosa

Is betting on Somozas worth it?

🔵 Somozas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $315.00
• And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$505.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.11. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $506.40;
• And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$253.60.

Is it worth betting on Arosa?

🔴 Arosa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 58.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 580 times – this would give you a profit of $754.00
• And would lose other 420 times – losing -$420.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$334.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Somozas x Arosa

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Somozas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Somozas x Arosa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Somozas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Somozas.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Arosa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Somozas x Arosa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.