📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Somozas x Atletico Arnoia
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Analysis from Somozas x Atletico Arnoia for the Spain Tercera Group 1 – 15 of January
🏟️ Somozas X Atletico Arnoia – Spain Tercera Group 1
When the best bet on Somozas x Atletico Arnoia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 287992 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Somozas x Atletico Arnoia
Should you bet on Somozas?
🔵 Somozas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 76.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 760 times – this would give you a profit of $306.28
- And would lose other 240 times – having a loss of -$240.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$66.28.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $518.50
- And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$311.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Arnoia?
🔴 Atletico Arnoia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $379.40
- And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$550.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Somozas x Atletico Arnoia
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Somozas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Somozas x Atletico Arnoia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Somozas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Somozas.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Atletico Arnoia.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Somozas x Atletico Arnoia
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves