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Home » Predictions » Others » Somozas x UD Barbadas Betting tips for January 11 in Spain Tercera Group 1
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 16h00 Spain Tercera Group 1
Somozas Somozas
PREDICTION No tip
UD Barbadas UD Barbadas
Don't miss this prediction!

Somozas x UD Barbadas Betting tips for January 11 in Spain Tercera Group 1

Our betting tip for Somozas x UD Barbadas, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
16:00
Somozas Somozas
2.00
X
3.16
UD Barbadas UD Barbadas
3.40

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Somozas x UD Barbadas:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Somozas x UD Barbadas

Some important points for the tip for Somozas x UD Barbadas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Somozas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Barbadas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, UD Barbadas conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Somozas x UD Barbadas?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Somozas x UD Barbadas, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Somozas x UD Barbadas for the Spain Tercera Group 1 – 11 of January

🏟️ Somozas X UD Barbadas – Spain Tercera Group 1
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 16:00
🔵 Somozas – Winning probability: 54.03% | Fair line: 1.85
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.55% | Fair line: 3.63
🔴 UD Barbadas – Winning probability: 18.42% | Fair line: 5.43
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Somozas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Somozas and UD Barbadas.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244516 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Somozas x UD Barbadas

Should you bet on Somozas?

🔵 Somozas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – profiting $540.00;
  • And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$80.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.16. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $604.80;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$115.20.

Is betting on UD Barbadas worth it?

🔴 UD Barbadas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $432.00
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$388.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Somozas x UD Barbadas

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Somozas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Somozas x UD Barbadas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Somozas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Somozas.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Somozas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Somozas x UD Barbadas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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