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Home » Predictions » Others » Sondrio x A.C. Ospitaletto Betting tips for October 2 in Italy Serie D
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 10h00 Italy Serie D
Sondrio Sondrio
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 33% 1 X 2
A.C. Ospitaletto A.C. Ospitaletto
ODD: @3.25 Don't miss this prediction!

Sondrio x A.C. Ospitaletto Betting tips for October 2 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Sondrio x A.C. Ospitaletto, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
📅 2/10/2024
10:00
Sondrio Sondrio
2.78
X
3.25
A.C. Ospitaletto A.C. Ospitaletto
2.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sondrio x A.C. Ospitaletto:

🔮 Tied Match
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Important information for your tip for Sondrio x A.C. Ospitaletto:

👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Sondrio conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Sondrio x A.C. Ospitaletto for the Italy Serie D – 2 of October

🏟️ Sondrio X A.C. Ospitaletto – Italy Serie D
📅 2 of October, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 Sondrio – Winning probability: 26.20% | Fair line: 3.82
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.19% | Fair line: 3.01
🔴 A.C. Ospitaletto – Winning probability: 40.62% | Fair line: 2.46
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Sondrio
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sondrio and A.C. Ospitaletto.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1193870 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sondrio x A.C. Ospitaletto

Is betting on Sondrio worth it?

🔵 Sondrio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $462.80;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$277.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $742.50;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$72.50.

Is betting on A.C. Ospitaletto worth it?

🔴 A.C. Ospitaletto: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $512.50
  • And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$77.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sondrio x A.C. Ospitaletto

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Sondrio
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sondrio x A.C. Ospitaletto

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Sondrio, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Sondrio.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sondrio x A.C. Ospitaletto

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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