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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» South Shields x Hereford FC Betting tips for February 4 in England National League North
Tuesday, 04 February 2025, 19h45 England National League North
South Shields South Shields
PREDICTION No tip
Hereford FC Hereford FC
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South Shields x Hereford FC Betting tips for February 4 in England National League North

Our betting tip for South Shields x Hereford FC, Tuesday, 4/2/2025
πŸ“… 4/2/2025
19:45
South Shields South Shields
2.58
X
3.35
Hereford FC Hereford FC
2.49

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for South Shields x Hereford FC:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for South Shields x Hereford FC

Important information for your tip for South Shields x Hereford FC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on South Shields in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-128.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Hereford FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Hereford FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 South Shields matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from South Shields x Hereford FC for the England National League North – 4 of February

🏟️ South Shields X Hereford FC – England National League North
πŸ“… 4 of February, 2025 – 19:45
πŸ”΅ South Shields – Winning probability: 41.58% | Fair line: 2.4
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.81% | Fair line: 3.25
πŸ”΄ Hereford FC – Winning probability: 27.61% | Fair line: 3.62
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 South Shields
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on South Shields x Hereford FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1256585 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for South Shields x Hereford FC

Should you bet on South Shields?

πŸ”΅ South Shields: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $663.60;
  • And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$83.60.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $728.50
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$38.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on Hereford FC?

πŸ”΄ Hereford FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.49. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $417.20;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$302.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match South Shields x Hereford FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 South Shields
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for South Shields x Hereford FC

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 South Shields and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 South Shields.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for South Shields x Hereford FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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