Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home » Predictions » Others » Southampton x Stoke Betting tips for October 29 in England EFL Cup
Tuesday, 29 October 2024, 19h45 England EFL Cup
Southampton Southampton
PREDICTION Southampton wins Probability 90% 1 X 2
Stoke Stoke
ODD: @1.51 Don't miss this prediction!

Southampton x Stoke Betting tips for October 29 in England EFL Cup

Our betting tip for Southampton x Stoke, Tuesday, 29/10/2024
📅 29/10/2024
19:45
Southampton Southampton
1.51
X
4.33
Stoke Stoke
5.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Southampton x Stoke:

🔮 Southampton wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Southampton, you can win up to $755.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Southampton x Stoke:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Southampton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Stoke in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
👉 Stoke did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 5 Stoke matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Southampton x Stoke, with Southampton as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Southampton conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Southampton x Stoke?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Southampton x Stoke for the England EFL Cup – 29 of October

🏟️ Southampton X Stoke – England EFL Cup
📅 29 of October, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Southampton – Winning probability: 90.14% | Fair line: 1.11
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 4.42% | Fair line: 22.62
🔴 Stoke – Winning probability: 5.44% | Fair line: 18.37
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Southampton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Southampton and Stoke.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1211436 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Southampton x Stoke

Should you bet on Southampton?

🔵 Southampton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 90.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.51. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 900 times – profiting $459.00;
  • And would lose other 100 times – having a loss of -$100.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$359.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $133.20
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$826.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Stoke?

🔴 Stoke: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $237.50
  • And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$712.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Southampton x Stoke

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Southampton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Southampton x Stoke

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Southampton, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Southampton.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Southampton.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Southampton x Stoke

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteúdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters