Southampton x Stoke Betting tips for October 29 in England EFL Cup
📅 29/10/2024 19:45 |
Southampton 1.51 |
X 4.33 |
Stoke 5.75 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Southampton x Stoke:
🔮 Southampton wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Southampton, you can win up to $755.00!
The main points for the tip for Southampton x Stoke: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Southampton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Southampton x Stoke for the England EFL Cup – 29 of October
🏟️ Southampton X Stoke – England EFL Cup |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Southampton and Stoke.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1211436 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Southampton x Stoke
Should you bet on Southampton?
🔵 Southampton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 90.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.51. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 900 times – profiting $459.00;
- And would lose other 100 times – having a loss of -$100.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$359.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $133.20
- And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$826.80.
Is it a good idea to bet on Stoke?
🔴 Stoke: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $237.50
- And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$712.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Southampton x Stoke
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Southampton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Southampton x Stoke
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Southampton, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Southampton.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Southampton.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Southampton x Stoke
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.