Southampton x Swansea Betting tips for January 12 in England FA Cup

Our betting tip for Southampton x Swansea, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 16:30

Southampton 1.76

X 4.00

Swansea 4.16

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Southampton x Swansea:

🔮 Southampton wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Southampton, you can win up to $880.00!

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The main points for the tip for Southampton x Swansea: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Southampton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Swansea in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-50.0. 👉 In the last 3 Swansea matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Southampton conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Swansea conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Southampton has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Swansea playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Southampton as home team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last home matches.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Southampton x Swansea?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Southampton x Swansea:

Analysis from Southampton x Swansea for the England FA Cup – 12 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Southampton and Swansea.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Southampton x Swansea

Is it a good idea to bet on Southampton?

🔵 Southampton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 67.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.76. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 680 times – this would give you a profit of $516.80
• And would have lost other 320 times – with a loss of -$320.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$196.80.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 70 times – profiting $210.00;
• And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$720.00.

Should you bet on Swansea?

🔴 Swansea: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.16. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $790.00
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$40.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Southampton x Swansea

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Southampton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Southampton x Swansea

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Southampton and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Southampton.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Swansea.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Southampton x Swansea

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.