📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Southend x Kings Lynn Town
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Southend x Kings Lynn Town?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Southend x Kings Lynn Town, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2022. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Southend x Kings Lynn Town for the England National League – 21 of January
🏟️ Southend X Kings Lynn Town – England National League
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Southend x Kings Lynn Town right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290581 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Southend x Kings Lynn Town
Should you bet on Southend?
🔵 Southend: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 63.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 640 times – profiting $400.00;
- And would have lost other 360 times – with a loss of -$360.00 because of them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$40.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 180 times – profiting $496.80;
- And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$323.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on Kings Lynn Town?
🔴 Kings Lynn Town: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – profiting $648.00;
- And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$172.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Southend x Kings Lynn Town
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Southend
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Southend x Kings Lynn Town
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Southend and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Southend.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Southend.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Southend x Kings Lynn Town
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
Our tips are also on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves