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Home » Predictions » Others » Spal x Pontedera Betting tips for April 12 in Italy Serie C Group B
Saturday, 12 April 2025, 15h30 Italy Serie C Group B
Spal Spal
PREDICTION Spal wins Probability 55% 1 X 2
Pontedera Pontedera
ODD: @2.15 Don't miss this prediction!

Spal x Pontedera Betting tips for April 12 in Italy Serie C Group B

Our betting tip for Spal x Pontedera, Saturday, 12/4/2025
📅 12/4/2025
15:30
Spal Spal
2.15
X
3.18
Pontedera Pontedera
3.04

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Spal x Pontedera:

🔮 Spal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Spal, you can win up to $1075.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Spal x Pontedera:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Spal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Pontedera in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $190.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Pontedera scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Spal conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Spal x Pontedera?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Spal x Pontedera, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Spal x Pontedera for the Italy Serie C Group B – 12 of April

🏟️ Spal X Pontedera – Italy Serie C Group B
📅 12 of April, 2025 – 15:30
🔵 Spal – Winning probability: 55.27% | Fair line: 1.81
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.37% | Fair line: 4.47
🔴 Pontedera – Winning probability: 22.36% | Fair line: 4.47
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Spal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Spal x Pontedera right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1301554 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Spal x Pontedera

Should you bet on Spal?

🔵 Spal: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 550 times – this would give you a profit of $632.50
  • And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$182.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $479.60;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$300.40.

Is betting on Pontedera worth it?

🔴 Pontedera: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.04. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $448.80;
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$331.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Spal x Pontedera

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Spal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Spal x Pontedera

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Spal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Spal.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Pontedera.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Spal x Pontedera

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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