Spartak Varna x Septemvri Sofia Betting tips for November 7 in Bulgaria First League
| 📅 7/11/2025 13:00 |
 Spartak Varna2.25 |
X 3.15 |
Septemvri Sofia  2.98 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Spartak Varna x Septemvri Sofia:
🔮 Spartak Varna wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Spartak Varna, you can win up to $1125.00!
The main points for the tip for Spartak Varna x Septemvri Sofia:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Spartak Varna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $385.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Septemvri Sofia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $433.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Spartak Varna scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Septemvri Sofia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Septemvri Sofia, Spartak Varna scored at least 1 goal(s).
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Analysis from Spartak Varna x Septemvri Sofia for the Bulgaria First League – 7 of November
🏟️ Spartak Varna X Septemvri Sofia – Bulgaria First League
📅 7 of November, 2025 – 13:00
🔵 Spartak Varna – Winning probability: 45.66% | Fair line: 2.19
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.86% | Fair line: 3.59
🔴 Septemvri Sofia – Winning probability: 26.48% | Fair line: 3.78
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Spartak Varna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
When the best bet on Spartak Varna x Septemvri Sofia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1433810 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Spartak Varna x Septemvri Sofia
Is betting on Spartak Varna worth it?
🔵 Spartak Varna: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $575.00;
- And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$35.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 280 times – profiting $602.00;
- And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$118.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Septemvri Sofia?
🔴 Septemvri Sofia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.98. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $514.80;
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$225.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Spartak Varna x Septemvri Sofia
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Spartak Varna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Spartak Varna x Septemvri Sofia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Spartak Varna, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Spartak Varna. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Spartak Varna x Septemvri Sofia
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
