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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Spennymoor Town x Buxton Betting tips for November 30 in England National League North
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h00 England National League North
Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town
PREDICTION No tip
Buxton Buxton
Don't miss this prediction!

Spennymoor Town x Buxton Betting tips for November 30 in England National League North

Our betting tip for Spennymoor Town x Buxton, Saturday, 30/11/2024
πŸ“… 30/11/2024
15:00
Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town
2.13
X
3.40
Buxton Buxton
2.84

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Spennymoor Town x Buxton:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Spennymoor Town x Buxton

The main points for the tip for Spennymoor Town x Buxton:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Spennymoor Town in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-55.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Buxton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $708.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Buxton conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Spennymoor Town conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Buxton.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Spennymoor Town x Buxton?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Spennymoor Town x Buxton, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Spennymoor Town x Buxton for the England National League North – 30 of November

🏟️ Spennymoor Town X Buxton – England National League North
πŸ“… 30 of November, 2024 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Spennymoor Town – Winning probability: 48.59% | Fair line: 2.06
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.51% | Fair line: 3.92
πŸ”΄ Buxton – Winning probability: 25.90% | Fair line: 3.86
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Spennymoor Town
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Spennymoor Town x Buxton right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Spennymoor Town x Buxton

Is it worth betting on Spennymoor Town?

πŸ”΅ Spennymoor Town: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.13. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $553.70
  • And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$43.70.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$116.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Buxton?

πŸ”΄ Buxton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.84. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $478.40;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$261.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Spennymoor Town x Buxton

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Spennymoor Town
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Spennymoor Town x Buxton

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Spennymoor Town, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Spennymoor Town.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Spennymoor Town x Buxton

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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