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Home » Predictions » Others » Sport Boys x Universitario de Deportes Betting tips for March 9 in Peru Liga 1
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 20h00 Peru Liga 1
Sport Boys Sport Boys
PREDICTION Universitario de Deportes Wins Probability 84% 1 X 2
Universitario de Deportes Universitario de Deportes
ODD: @1.48 Don't miss this prediction!

Sport Boys x Universitario de Deportes Betting tips for March 9 in Peru Liga 1

Our betting tip for Sport Boys x Universitario de Deportes, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
20:00
Sport Boys Sport Boys
5.82
X
3.82
Universitario de Deportes Universitario de Deportes
1.48

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sport Boys x Universitario de Deportes:

🔮 Universitario de Deportes wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Universitario de Deportes, you can win up to $740.00!

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The main points for the tip for Sport Boys x Universitario de Deportes:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sport Boys in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-173.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Universitario de Deportes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Sport Boys scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Universitario de Deportes conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Sport Boys conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Universitario de Deportes.
👉 Even as a visitor, Universitario de Deportes won the last 3 head-to-head matches Sport Boys´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from Sport Boys x Universitario de Deportes for the Peru Liga 1 – 9 of March

🏟️ Sport Boys X Universitario de Deportes – Peru Liga 1
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Sport Boys – Winning probability: 3.88% | Fair line: 25.76
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.70% | Fair line: 8.54
🔴 Universitario de Deportes – Winning probability: 84.42% | Fair line: 1.18
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Sport Boys
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sport Boys x Universitario de Deportes right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1277138 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sport Boys x Universitario de Deportes

Is it worth betting on Sport Boys?

🔵 Sport Boys: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $192.80;
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$767.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $338.40
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$541.60.

Should you bet on Universitario de Deportes?

🔴 Universitario de Deportes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 84.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 840 times – this would give you a profit of $403.20
  • And would lose other 160 times – losing -$160.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$243.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sport Boys x Universitario de Deportes

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Sport Boys
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sport Boys x Universitario de Deportes

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Sport Boys and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Sport Boys.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Universitario de Deportes.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sport Boys x Universitario de Deportes

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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