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Home » Predictions » Others » Sport Huancayo x Alianza Atletico Betting tips for February 7 in Peru Liga 1
Friday, 07 February 2025, 20h00 Peru Liga 1
Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo
PREDICTION Sport Huancayo wins Probability 80% 1 X 2
Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico
ODD: @1.6 Don't miss this prediction!

Sport Huancayo x Alianza Atletico Betting tips for February 7 in Peru Liga 1

Our betting tip for Sport Huancayo x Alianza Atletico, Friday, 7/2/2025
📅 7/2/2025
20:00
Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo
1.60
X
3.64
Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico
4.95

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sport Huancayo x Alianza Atletico:

🔮 Sport Huancayo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sport Huancayo, you can win up to $800.00!

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Important information for your tip for Sport Huancayo x Alianza Atletico:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sport Huancayo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Alianza Atletico in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $388.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Sport Huancayo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Alianza Atletico, Sport Huancayo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Sport Huancayo matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Sport Huancayo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Sport Huancayo has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Alianza Atletico playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Sport Huancayo x Alianza Atletico for the Peru Liga 1 – 7 of February

🏟️ Sport Huancayo X Alianza Atletico – Peru Liga 1
📅 7 of February, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Sport Huancayo – Winning probability: 80.17% | Fair line: 1.25
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.02% | Fair line: 7.13
🔴 Alianza Atletico – Winning probability: 5.81% | Fair line: 17.21
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Sport Huancayo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sport Huancayo x Alianza Atletico right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1258264 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sport Huancayo x Alianza Atletico

Is it a good idea to bet on Sport Huancayo?

🔵 Sport Huancayo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 80.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 800 times – having a profit of $480.00;
  • And would have lost other 200 times – with a loss of -$200.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$280.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.64. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $369.60
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$490.40.

Should you bet on Alianza Atletico?

🔴 Alianza Atletico: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $237.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$703.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sport Huancayo x Alianza Atletico

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Sport Huancayo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sport Huancayo x Alianza Atletico

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Sport Huancayo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Sport Huancayo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Sport Huancayo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sport Huancayo x Alianza Atletico

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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