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Home » Predictions » Others » Sport Recife x Fortaleza Betting tips for February 5 in Brazil Copa Nordeste
Wednesday, 05 February 2025, 00h30 Brazil Copa Nordeste
Sport Recife Sport Recife
PREDICTION Sport Recife wins Probability 50% 1 X 2
Fortaleza Fortaleza
ODD: @2.4 Don't miss this prediction!

Sport Recife x Fortaleza Betting tips for February 5 in Brazil Copa Nordeste

Our betting tip for Sport Recife x Fortaleza, Wednesday, 5/2/2025
📅 5/2/2025
00:30
Sport Recife Sport Recife
2.40
X
3.00
Fortaleza Fortaleza
2.70

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Sport Recife x Fortaleza:

🔮 Sport Recife wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sport Recife, you can win up to $1200.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Sport Recife x Fortaleza:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sport Recife in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-222.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Sport Recife scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Fortaleza scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Fortaleza, Sport Recife scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Sport Recife conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Sport Recife conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Fortaleza.
👉 Fortaleza is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Sport Recife x Fortaleza?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Sport Recife x Fortaleza:

Analysis from Sport Recife x Fortaleza for the Brazil Copa Nordeste – 5 of February

🏟️ Sport Recife X Fortaleza – Brazil Copa Nordeste
📅 5 of February, 2025 – 00:30
🔵 Sport Recife – Winning probability: 50.16% | Fair line: 1.99
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.06% | Fair line: 6.23
🔴 Fortaleza – Winning probability: 33.78% | Fair line: 2.96
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Sport Recife
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sport Recife and Fortaleza.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1257615 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sport Recife x Fortaleza

Is betting on Sport Recife worth it?

🔵 Sport Recife: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $700.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$200.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $320.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$520.00.

Is it worth betting on Fortaleza?

🔴 Fortaleza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $578.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$82.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Sport Recife x Fortaleza

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Sport Recife
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sport Recife x Fortaleza

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Sport Recife and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Sport Recife.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Sport Recife.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sport Recife x Fortaleza

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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