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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Sporting B x UD Santarem Betting tips for December 1 in Portugal Liga 3
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 15h00 Portugal Liga 3
Sporting B Sporting B
PREDICTION No tip
UD Santarem UD Santarem
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Sporting B x UD Santarem Betting tips for December 1 in Portugal Liga 3

Our betting tip for Sporting B x UD Santarem, Sunday, 1/12/2024
πŸ“… 1/12/2024
15:00
Sporting B Sporting B
2.01
X
3.20
UD Santarem UD Santarem
3.40

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Sporting B x UD Santarem:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Sporting B x UD Santarem

Some important points for the tip for Sporting B x UD Santarem:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sporting B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-75.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on UD Santarem in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-10.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Sporting B matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, UD Santarem conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Sporting B x UD Santarem for the Portugal Liga 3 – 1 of December

🏟️ Sporting B X UD Santarem – Portugal Liga 3
πŸ“… 1 of December, 2024 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Sporting B – Winning probability: 48.56% | Fair line: 2.06
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.74% | Fair line: 3.48
πŸ”΄ UD Santarem – Winning probability: 22.70% | Fair line: 4.41
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sporting B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Sporting B x UD Santarem is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sporting B x UD Santarem

Is it worth betting on Sporting B?

πŸ”΅ Sporting B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.01. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – profiting $494.90;
  • And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$15.10.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $638.00
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$72.00.

Should you bet on UD Santarem?

πŸ”΄ UD Santarem: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $552.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$218.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sporting B x UD Santarem

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sporting B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sporting B x UD Santarem

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Sporting B and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Sporting B.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 UD Santarem.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sporting B x UD Santarem

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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