Sporting x Benfica Betting tips for January 11 in Portugal League Cup

Our betting tip for Sporting x Benfica, Saturday, 11/1/2025

📅 11/1/2025 19:45

Sporting 2.45

X 3.25

Benfica 2.75

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sporting x Benfica:

🔮 Sporting wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sporting, you can win up to $1225.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Sporting x Benfica: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $232.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Sporting scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Benfica, Sporting scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Benfica matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Sporting is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Sporting has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Benfica playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Sporting x Benfica?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Sporting x Benfica:

Analysis from Sporting x Benfica for the Portugal League Cup – 11 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sporting and Benfica.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244516 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sporting x Benfica

Is it worth betting on Sporting?

🔵 Sporting: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $696.00
• And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$176.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $517.50
• And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$252.50.

Should you bet on Benfica?

🔴 Benfica: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $507.50;
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$202.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sporting x Benfica

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sporting
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sporting x Benfica

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Sporting, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Sporting.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sporting x Benfica

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.