Sporting Covilha x Atletico CP Lisbon Betting tips for January 12 in Portugal Liga 3

Our betting tip for Sporting Covilha x Atletico CP Lisbon, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 15:00

Sporting Covilha 2.89

X 3.00

Atletico CP Lisbon 2.32

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sporting Covilha x Atletico CP Lisbon:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Sporting Covilha x Atletico CP Lisbon

Some important points for the tip for Sporting Covilha x Atletico CP Lisbon: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting Covilha in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-117.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico CP Lisbon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $20.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Atletico CP Lisbon, Sporting Covilha scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Sporting Covilha matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Sporting Covilha conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Sporting Covilha has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Atletico CP Lisbon playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Sporting Covilha as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Sporting Covilha x Atletico CP Lisbon?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Sporting Covilha x Atletico CP Lisbon:

Analysis from Sporting Covilha x Atletico CP Lisbon for the Portugal Liga 3 – 12 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sporting Covilha and Atletico CP Lisbon.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244844 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sporting Covilha x Atletico CP Lisbon

Is betting on Sporting Covilha worth it?

🔵 Sporting Covilha: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.89. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $472.50
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$277.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – profiting $680.00;
• And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$20.00.

Should you bet on Atletico CP Lisbon?

🔴 Atletico CP Lisbon: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 420 times – profiting $554.40;
• And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$25.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sporting Covilha x Atletico CP Lisbon

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Sporting Covilha
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sporting Covilha x Atletico CP Lisbon

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Sporting Covilha, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Sporting Covilha.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sporting Covilha x Atletico CP Lisbon

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.