Sporting Covilha x UD Santarem Betting tips for March 9 in Portugal Liga 3

Our betting tip for Sporting Covilha x UD Santarem, Sunday, 9/3/2025

📅 9/3/2025 15:00

Sporting Covilha 2.53

X 2.98

UD Santarem 2.69

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sporting Covilha x UD Santarem:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Sporting Covilha x UD Santarem

Some important points for the tip for Sporting Covilha x UD Santarem: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting Covilha in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-212.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Santarem in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-175.0.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Sporting Covilha x UD Santarem?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Sporting Covilha x UD Santarem for the Portugal Liga 3 – 9 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sporting Covilha x UD Santarem right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1277138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sporting Covilha x UD Santarem

Is betting on Sporting Covilha worth it?

🔵 Sporting Covilha: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.53. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $474.30;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$215.70.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $653.40;
• And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$16.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on UD Santarem?

🔴 UD Santarem: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.69. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 360 times – profiting $608.40;
• And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$31.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sporting Covilha x UD Santarem

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sporting Covilha
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sporting Covilha x UD Santarem

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Sporting Covilha, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Sporting Covilha.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sporting Covilha x UD Santarem

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.