Sporting Cristal x Cesar Vallejo Betting tips for September 29 in Peru Liga 1

Our betting tip for Sporting Cristal x Cesar Vallejo, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 13:00

Sporting Cristal 1.37

X 4.42

Cesar Vallejo 6.90

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sporting Cristal x Cesar Vallejo:

🔮 Sporting Cristal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sporting Cristal, you can win up to $685.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Sporting Cristal x Cesar Vallejo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting Cristal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $10.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cesar Vallejo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Sporting Cristal did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal x Cesar Vallejo, with Sporting Cristal as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Cesar Vallejo conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Sporting Cristal is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 64.00% of possession. 👉 It is not a good time for Cesar Vallejo as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sporting Cristal x Cesar Vallejo?

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Analysis from Sporting Cristal x Cesar Vallejo for the Peru Liga 1 – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sporting Cristal and Cesar Vallejo.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sporting Cristal x Cesar Vallejo

Is betting on Sporting Cristal worth it?

🔵 Sporting Cristal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 84.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 850 times – profiting $314.50;
• And would lose other 150 times – losing -$150.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$164.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $376.20;
• And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$513.80.

Is it worth betting on Cesar Vallejo?

🔴 Cesar Vallejo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 40 times – profiting $236.00;
• And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$724.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sporting Cristal x Cesar Vallejo

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Sporting Cristal
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sporting Cristal x Cesar Vallejo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Sporting Cristal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Sporting Cristal.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Sporting Cristal.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sporting Cristal x Cesar Vallejo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.