Sporting Cristal x Cusco FC Betting tips for April 13 in Peru Liga 1

Our betting tip for Sporting Cristal x Cusco FC, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 16:00

Sporting Cristal 1.34

X 4.80

Cusco FC 7.25

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sporting Cristal x Cusco FC:

🔮 Sporting Cristal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sporting Cristal, you can win up to $670.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Sporting Cristal x Cusco FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting Cristal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-68.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cusco FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $1505.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Sporting Cristal scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Cusco FC, Sporting Cristal scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Sporting Cristal matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Cusco FC has not lost any of them. 👉 Sporting Cristal has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Cusco FC.

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Analysis from Sporting Cristal x Cusco FC for the Peru Liga 1 – 13 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sporting Cristal x Cusco FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1302187 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sporting Cristal x Cusco FC

Is it worth betting on Sporting Cristal?

🔵 Sporting Cristal: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 87.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.34. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 870 times – this would give you a profit of $295.80
• And would have lost other 130 times – with a loss of -$130.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$165.80.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $304.00;
• And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$616.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Cusco FC?

🔴 Cusco FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 40 times – profiting $250.00;
• And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$710.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sporting Cristal x Cusco FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Sporting Cristal
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sporting Cristal x Cusco FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Sporting Cristal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Sporting Cristal.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Cusco FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sporting Cristal x Cusco FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.