Sporting x FC Porto Betting tips for January 7 in Portugal League Cup

Our betting tip for Sporting x FC Porto, Tuesday, 7/1/2025

📅 7/1/2025 19:45

Sporting 2.45

X 3.30

FC Porto 2.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Sporting x FC Porto:

🔮 Sporting wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sporting, you can win up to $1225.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Sporting x FC Porto: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-18.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Porto in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-355.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sporting scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, FC Porto scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against FC Porto, Sporting scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Sporting is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, FC Porto has not lost any of them.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Sporting x FC Porto?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Sporting x FC Porto:

Analysis from Sporting x FC Porto for the Portugal League Cup – 7 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sporting x FC Porto right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1243026 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sporting x FC Porto

Should you bet on Sporting?

🔵 Sporting: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 620 times – profiting $899.00;
• And would lose other 380 times – having a loss of -$380.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$519.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 130 times – profiting $299.00;
• And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$571.00.

Is it worth betting on FC Porto?

🔴 FC Porto: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $437.50;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$312.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sporting x FC Porto

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Sporting
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sporting x FC Porto

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Sporting and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Sporting.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -1.00, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Sporting.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sporting x FC Porto

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.