Sporting Pombal x Sertanense Betting tips for February 2 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
📅 2/2/2025 15:00 |
![]() 1.59 |
X 3.54 |
Sertanense ![]() 5.03 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Sporting Pombal x Sertanense:
🔮 Sporting Pombal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sporting Pombal, you can win up to $795.00!
The main points for the tip for Sporting Pombal x Sertanense: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting Pombal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-50.0. |

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Analysis from Sporting Pombal x Sertanense for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 2 of February
🏟️ Sporting Pombal X Sertanense – Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sporting Pombal x Sertanense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1255121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Sporting Pombal x Sertanense
Is it worth betting on Sporting Pombal?
🔵 Sporting Pombal: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 72.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.59. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 720 times – this would give you a profit of $424.80
- And would lose other 280 times – having a loss of -$280.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$144.80.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.54. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $508.00
- And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$292.00.
Is betting on Sertanense worth it?
🔴 Sertanense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.03. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 80 times – profiting $322.40;
- And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$597.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sporting Pombal x Sertanense
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Sporting Pombal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sporting Pombal x Sertanense
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Sporting Pombal and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Sporting Pombal.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sporting Pombal x Sertanense
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.