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Home » Predictions » Others » Sporting San Miguelito x CD Arabe Unido Betting tips for April 13 in Panama LPF
Sunday, 13 April 2025, 23h15 Panama LPF
Sporting San Miguelito Sporting San Miguelito
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 39% 1 X 2
CD Arabe Unido CD Arabe Unido
ODD: @2.9 Don't miss this prediction!

Sporting San Miguelito x CD Arabe Unido Betting tips for April 13 in Panama LPF

Our betting tip for Sporting San Miguelito x CD Arabe Unido, Sunday, 13/4/2025
📅 13/4/2025
23:15
Sporting San Miguelito Sporting San Miguelito
2.30
X
2.90
CD Arabe Unido CD Arabe Unido
2.98

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Sporting San Miguelito x CD Arabe Unido:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1450.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Sporting San Miguelito x CD Arabe Unido:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting San Miguelito in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-48.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Arabe Unido in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $105.0.
👉 CD Arabe Unido did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 4 CD Arabe Unido matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Sporting San Miguelito received red cards as the home team in all the last 3 head-to-head matches against CD Arabe Unido.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, CD Arabe Unido has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Sporting San Miguelito x CD Arabe Unido for the Panama LPF – 13 of April

🏟️ Sporting San Miguelito X CD Arabe Unido – Panama LPF
📅 13 of April, 2025 – 23:15
🔵 Sporting San Miguelito – Winning probability: 22.43% | Fair line: 4.46
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 39.60% | Fair line: 2.53
🔴 CD Arabe Unido – Winning probability: 37.97% | Fair line: 2.63
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sporting San Miguelito
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sporting San Miguelito x CD Arabe Unido right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302894 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sporting San Miguelito x CD Arabe Unido

Is betting on Sporting San Miguelito worth it?

🔵 Sporting San Miguelito: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $286.00
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$494.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $760.00;
  • And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$160.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on CD Arabe Unido?

🔴 CD Arabe Unido: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – profiting $752.40;
  • And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$132.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sporting San Miguelito x CD Arabe Unido

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sporting San Miguelito
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sporting San Miguelito x CD Arabe Unido

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Sporting San Miguelito, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Sporting San Miguelito.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 CD Arabe Unido.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sporting San Miguelito x CD Arabe Unido

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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