Sportivo Ameliano x General Caballero JLM Betting tips for April 16 in Paraguay Division Profesional
| 📅 16/4/2025 19:00 |
 Sportivo Ameliano2.05 |
X 3.10 |
General Caballero JLM  3.40 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sportivo Ameliano x General Caballero JLM:
👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Sportivo Ameliano x General Caballero JLM
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The main points for the tip for Sportivo Ameliano x General Caballero JLM: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sportivo Ameliano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $32.0. |
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Analysis from Sportivo Ameliano x General Caballero JLM for the Paraguay Division Profesional – 16 of April
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🏟️ Sportivo Ameliano X General Caballero JLM – Paraguay Division Profesional |
When the best bet on Sportivo Ameliano x General Caballero JLM is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1304980 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Sportivo Ameliano x General Caballero JLM
Should you bet on Sportivo Ameliano?
🔵 Sportivo Ameliano: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 510 times – having a profit of $535.50;
- And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$45.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $567.00;
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$163.00.
Is it worth betting on General Caballero JLM?
🔴 General Caballero JLM: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $528.00;
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$252.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sportivo Ameliano x General Caballero JLM
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sportivo Ameliano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sportivo Ameliano x General Caballero JLM
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Sportivo Ameliano and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Sportivo Ameliano.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 General Caballero JLM.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sportivo Ameliano x General Caballero JLM
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
